Friday, March 12, 2010

2010 ... IPL Match (1) ... Deccan Chargers Vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Analytics

Deccan Chargers Vs Kolkata Knight Riders, played at Dr DY Patil Sports Academy, Mumbai on March 12 2010 - Kolkata won by 11 runs
  • Deccan Chargers 161 for 4 wickets in 20 overs
  • Kolkata Knight Riders 150 for 7 wickets in 20 overs
  • Scoreboard
Analytics Behind Deccan Chargers' Chase

Target of 162 runs to be scored in 20 overs

Score at end of 7 overs ... 67 for the loss of 1 wickets
Batting Resources still available was ... 75 %
Remaining Chase Target % was ... 59 %
Excess capacity At hand ... + 16%

Hence at end of 7 overs ... Resource Clock favors Deccan Chargers

Score at end of 13 overs ... 108 for the loss of 3 wickets
Batting Resources still available was ... 45 %
Remaining Chase Target % was ... 33 %
Excess capacity At hand .... +12%

Hence at end of 13 overs ... Resource Clock still favors Deccan Chargers

Opening Overs clearly were dominated by Deccan Chargers based on the "Resource Clock", and the Middle Overs clearly indicated that Deccan Chargers was ahead of the Resource Clock and was likely to win.

But in the End-Game Deccan Chargers could not maintain the momentum and managed their "Batting Resources" poorly and lost the match by a not so narrow margin of 11 runs.

The 17th over was the turning point when Rohit Sharma of Deccan Chargers was dismissed and they ended the over at 133 for 5 wickets. At that stage the Deccan Chargers Challenge Ratio at 84 exceeded both the Simple Average of the Challenge ratio or Weighted Average of the Challenge Ratio. This clearly was the inflection point signifying a reversal of fortune for the Deccan Chargers.

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