Saturday, April 23, 2011

2011 -- IPL-IV Match 25 Mumbai Indians Vs Chennai Super Kings

Mumbai Indians v Chennai Super Kings, played at Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai, on April 22 2011 - Mumbai Indians won by 8 runs.
  • Mumbai Indians 164 for 4 wickets in 20 overs
  • Cennai Super Kings 156 for 9 wickets in 20 overs
  • Scoreboard
  • Photos
Analytics Behind Chennai Super Kings' Chase

Target of 165 runs to be scored in 20 overs

Score at end of 7 overs ... 53 for the loss of 2 wickets
Batting Resources still available was ... 70 %
Remaining Chase Target % was ... 68 %
Excess Capacity At hand ... + 2 %

Hence at end of 7 overs ... Resource Clock ... slightly favors Chennai super Kings

Score at end of 13 overs ... 102 for the loss of 4 wickets
Batting Resources still available was ... 41 %
Remaining Chase Target % was ... 38 %
Excess Capacity At hand .... + 3 %

Hence at end of 13 overs ... Resource Clock ... Chennai Super Kings marginally ahead

The Opening Overs that CSK was keeping pace with target at hand based on the Resource Clock Index. They continued to do so during the Middle overs and put themselves slightly ahead .

During the End-Overs CSK after a good start had a disastrous 18th over wherein they lost 3 wickets for the addition of only 2 runs, which essentially sealed their fate.

CSK were ahead of the Resource Clock Index for 15 out of the twenty overs and looked capable of chasing the total at hand, but they were unable to finish when it mattered.

In the "Big Overs Comparison" Mumbai Indians and Chennai Super Kings were quite even, at six big overs each, and in the "Tight Overs Comparison" MI had the edge 8 to 6.

Probability Matrix

Over .... Chances of CSK Winning

05 .... 49 %

10 .... 69 %

15 .... 65 %

16 .... 52 %
17 .... 63 %
18 .... 01 %